China – Lessons to be Learnt from History

China is at it again. This time it is at the tri-junction of India, Bhutan and China, named Dok La, Dok Lan and Dong Long by the three countries respectively. China is trying to construct a road meant for its military in an area here, which is a disputed land between Bhutan and China and where there is an agreement between Bhutan and China that no party to the agreement shall do anything unilaterally.

Bhutan has lodged its protest to China over this construction through its diplomatic channel in Delhi.

This construction of China will allow this country to have a decisive military strategic advantage over India in the event of a confrontation. India and Bhutan have special relations and under an agreement between Bhutan and India, India has the responsibility to defend the Bhutan’s territorial integrity. By this unilateral construction against its bilateral agreement with Bhutan, China is trying not only to occupy a large part of the Bhutan’s land but also to pose a challenge to the Indian security.

China knows full well that by its act it is posing a serious threat to India’s security and has been made aware of this by the Indian protest. But China is insistent to do what it intends to do.

There is likely to be a meeting between the Chinese President and the Indian Prime Minister in a meeting of G-20 countries to be held in a few days from now. All eyes will be centered on an eventual meeting between these two leaders and the outcome of such a meeting. This is the normal way of trying to resolve international disputes between countries.

But India must also pay attention to something else. It is learning from history.

India always must remember one thing: China has a long-term goal of transforming this country into an uncontested sole power in Asia to pave its way to the end destination of being the world’s super power; and all its strategies are made to serve this goal. To forget this basic principle of China would be the greatest mistake of India.

Therefore, India would do well to study the history and learn a few lessons in dealing with China. What are these lessons? Let us recapitulate them:

  1. China launches an offensive when you least expect it. It is the strategy, which China has perfected since its rise as a communist state. Surprise always has an advantage – sometimes the decisive advantage – in military affairs. The foundation of this tactic is deceit. A simple methodology is adopted: They will talk to you; invite you to talk; make some hopefully seeming compromising gestures; relying on them – hope of peace – you are in their trap. It is a calculated move to make you lull. It is the first lesson India must learn. Vietnam had learnt this lesson the hard way in their confrontation with China. India had learnt – learnt or not? – this lesson in 1962 Hindi-Chini Bhai Bhai, when India’s Prime Minister Jawahar Lal Nehru openly took the position that China is our friend, it is a socialist friend, we have served this China’s great interest by sending Dr. Kotnees there to nurse wounded communist soldiers, we do not need an army in so far as China is concerned … etc. What are the lessons to be learnt, then? If they seem to be compromising in talks – not on the real ground where armies are face to face – be alert to the coming offensive; it is better to err on the correct side. Prepare yourself and be ready. If you are not visibly prepared and taken in for their sweet talks, you are gone in their trap. Therefore, to meet this strategy of China and to frustrate their calculated outcome of this strategy, India would do well to be ready – fully ready with its entire arsenal – to launch a counter offensive in accordance with its own planned strategy.
  2. China is expert in launching a quick offensive – and after winning a stunning but short victory in this offensive – and suddenly and promptly declaring cease-fire, end of hostilities, truce, peace and, singing the virtues of peace, leaving the disputed issue as it is and offering to resolve this issue by negotiations and talks. It is a tested strategy. It has been tested with Vietnam, India, USSR (on Mongolia), USA (in Korean war) etc. The advantages of this strategy are: you demoralize the enemy; you make your enemy to mentally prepare to accede to some of your (China’s) demands; to enhance your military stature among the possible next victims and make them psychologically ready to give you (China) concessions, albeit unwillingly; it is not for nothing that Philippines – even after winning a legal case against China in an international judicial forum – is ready to forgo its legal victory and willing to negotiate with China; one can very well understand, what is left there for Philippines to negotiate with China. What lessons India is to learn from history? Do not allow China to cut short a possible long war; take the war inside the territory of the enemy; Chinese soldiers are nowhere in bravery of the Indian soldiers; they cannot withstand the Indians for long. In today’s capitalist China, there is no indoctrinated zeal left in the army and they are a mere professional army, like that of any other country. India is not for war; it has never been for war; but if the war is imposed, India should not – and will not – slick to answer the threat. Therefore, never allow China to reap this calculated advantage of this strategy of hit, win and go home; there must be imposed a heavy tax on such strategies.
  3. The ‘Absolute’ truth of military science today is: It is not the soldiers who fight; it is the technology that fights and soldiers merely make this possible for the technology to let do its work. What is to be done and when, is all decided by the technological capabilities. Therefore, there is peace – and it is hoped that there will be peace – India would do well to put all its technological capabilities and advantages in place to meet the emerging possibility of war with China. The lesson to be learnt is: Err on the correct side. After all, there is no harm in getting fully ready, except that it would cost some extra money.
  4. India should take full advantage of its imagery satellites to locate the enemy’s potential targets of military importance and deploy its arsenal aiming at them in advance to work when the need arises.
  5. India also needs to change its policy towards China on a long term basis. India should devise an original plan centered on Tibet and have a dedicated team comprising topographical and military experts to study the feasibility of cutting Tibet from the rest of China and holding this mountain land militarily as an independent country, like Bhutan. Commensurate with its needs, India should search for and source the needed military hardware. This strategy should be the strategic pivotal point in dealing with China.
  6. Let India advocate peace; hope for peace; inform the international community about the facts of this case and Chinese designs. Get all the friends together on Chinese international behavior – South China Sea, Tibet and Dok La.
  7. Post script: In the comment section of an article relating to China’s threat to India published in a Japanese newspaper, there is a very significant comment by somebody worth attention by the Indian government. It says that India very well knows that it (India) does not route rouge state of Pakistan, which it can do anytime it decides, only because Pakistan holds the threat of atomic war – and the end result is there is no war between India and Pakistan. It is a tested strategy to an ensured result. India must make it clear to China that it (India) will use its atomic weapons against China if it becomes necessary to do so. A good idea.
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2 Comments (+add yours?)

  1. Santanu Dey
    Jul 06, 2017 @ 23:48:13

    The Dragon can never be relied upon for all its diplomatic advances even if they emanate from the mouth of their Head Of the State. India can ill-afford to forget its 1962 experience wherein our rose-in-the-pocket first PM had come out with his infamous “Hindi Chini Bhai Bhai” slogan and was royally thrashed by them within just a matter of three years. Of course there were other bigger contributions of our first PM towards that royal thrashing, premier among them being his pathological hatred for the Armed Forces along with the fear that they might dethrone him from his seat of power in Delhi.

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    • IPC
      Jul 07, 2017 @ 09:16:58

      What you said, is correct. Now we are living in 2017 – and the Dragon is dreaming to repeat 1962. This dragon also did the same thing to Vietnam, and now it is planning to do the same thing to the US on the issue of its artificially created and militarized islands in South China Sea. It will go on doing this to Japan, India … and whoever comes in its way of its ambition to become the exclusive super power of the world. This country is a new type of “Nazi Germany of Hitler” and a threat to the international law and order, and peace. This very China was threshed to its very bottom by Japan – contineously and consistently for years – before 1949. This country is of the same stuff – when the matter of bravery in military confrontation comes. The crux of the ‘bravery’ of this dragon is ‘deceit’. The lesson to be learnt by the world – including India – is that never rely on what this country says and always plan on your own what you want to do with this monester. But one thing always to remember is that the Chinese people are mostly Buddhists and peace loving, who have been trampled upon by the iron-feet of so-called “communist” dictatorship, and they need international help in their emanicipation from their brute state machinery.

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